野村雅道のID為替研究所 (Day)|FXブログ|外為どっとコム

IMFのラガルドさんが南アフリカに望むこと

SA needs action to cut fiscal gap - IMF

South Africa needs to take "robust actions" to reduce its fiscal deficit and reverse the increase in public debt, the International Monetary Fund has said.

"The fiscal deficit is set to worsen as weak growth constrains revenue, current expenditure remains rigid, and public enterprises require additional support," the Washington-based IMF said in an emailed report Monday after staff concluded a visit to the continent's most-industrialised economy. "As a result, debt pressures are likely to further increase in the near term."

The National Treasury in February forecast a fiscal gap of 4.5% of gross domestic product for the year starting April 1. If realised, it would be the worst since the 6.3% reported in fiscal 2010.

Weak economic growth and chronically high unemployment mean the state would probably miss its initial revenue-collection targets by more than R42bn in the 2018-19 fiscal year, the Treasury said in February.

Debt-ridden state-owned companies such as power utility Eskom are also placing strain on the country's balance sheet, the IMF said.

"Action is needed to reduce the fiscal deficit, reverse the ongoing increase in public debt, and restore much-needed fiscal buffers to protect the government's development objectives and its ability respond to shocks," the institution said.

FX湘南投資グループ代表
野村 雅道(のむら・まさみち)氏

1979年東京大学教養学部を卒業後、東京銀行(現三菱UFJ銀行)入行、82年ニューヨーク支店にて国際投資業務(主に中南米融資)、外貨資金業務に従事。85年プラザ合意時には本店為替資金部でチーフディーラーを務める。

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