野村雅道のID為替研究所 (Day)|FXブログ|外為どっとコム

世銀のトルコの成長見通し、昨年は多くが高成長を見通せなかった

Aided by fiscal and monetary policies that led to "a much stronger-than-expected rebound," Turkey's economic growth projection for 2017 was revised up to 6.7 percent from 4 percent, state-run Anadolu Agency reported, citing the World Bank Group on Jan. 9.

"The significant rebound in Turkey's growth last year--to 6.7 percent, from 3.2 percent in 2016--was supported by fiscal stimulus aimed at expediting recovery from the economic repercussions of the 2016 failed coup attempt," according to the bank's Global Economic Prospects report.

Export growth also increased due to higher demand from the European Union (EU) and Turkey's currency depreciation in 2016, the World Bank said.

In addition, strong growth of the working-age population supports a positive outlook for the country's potential growth.

The World Bank warned that rising disagreements among some countries with the EU could deter international investors and lead to an end to EU accession for Turkey.

"Growth in Turkey is projected as moderate to around 3.5 percent in 2018, as the impact of the 2017 fiscal measures fades," the report said.

The Word Bank expects Turkey's economy to expand 4 percent in 2019 and 2020.

FX湘南投資グループ代表
野村 雅道(のむら・まさみち)氏

1979年東京大学教養学部を卒業後、東京銀行(現三菱東京UFJ銀行)入行、82年ニューヨーク支店にて国際投資業務(主に中南米融資)、外貨資金業務に従事。85年プラザ合意時には本店為替資金部でチーフディーラーを務める。

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